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SaaS Metrics Explained: MRR, Churn, LTV and CAC

Basics4 min

In short

MRR is your recurring monthly revenue, churn is how many customers or how much money you lose, LTV is what a customer brings over their lifetime and CAC is what it costs to win them. A healthy SaaS has LTV well above CAC and a short payback.

The short answer: four numbers that describe a SaaS

SaaS runs on subscriptions, so one-off revenue says little. What matters is how much money comes in every month, how many customers leave, how much one customer brings and how much it costs to find them. Those four questions are answered by MRR, Churn, LTV and CAC.

All numbers in the examples below are illustrative and only show how the calculation works.

MRR — monthly recurring revenue

MRR (Monthly Recurring Revenue) is the sum of all monthly payments from active subscriptions. One-off payments such as onboarding or setup are excluded.

Formula: MRR = sum of monthly payments from all active customers.

If a customer pays annually, divide the payment by 12. Example: 40 customers at $50 and 10 customers at $120 give MRR = 2,000 + 1,200 = $3,200.

It helps to split MRR changes into parts:

  • New MRR — from new customers;
  • Expansion MRR — from upgrades and upsells;
  • Churned MRR — lost to cancellations and downgrades.

ARR is the same figure on a yearly basis: MRR × 12.

Churn — losing customers and money

Churn rate shows what share you lose over a period. There are two kinds:

  • Customer churn — share of customers lost: customers who left this month / customers at the start of the month.
  • Revenue churn — share of revenue lost: lost MRR / MRR at the start of the month.

Example: you started the month with 200 customers and 6 left. Customer churn = 6 / 200 = 3%.

Revenue churn matters more when plans differ a lot: losing one large customer can cost more than losing ten small ones. When upsells to existing customers outweigh the losses, you get negative net churn — revenue from your current base grows even without new sales.

LTV — what a customer brings over time

LTV (Lifetime Value) is the gross profit a customer generates over their whole subscription.

Simple formula: LTV = ARPA × gross margin / churn rate.

  • ARPA — average revenue per account per month (MRR / number of customers).
  • Gross margin — the share of revenue left after direct costs: servers, support, third-party services.

Example: ARPA = $50, margin 80%, monthly churn 2%. LTV = 50 × 0.8 / 0.02 = $2,000.

Keep in mind that the formula assumes stable churn. For a young product with little history, LTV is a rough estimate.

CAC — what it costs to win a customer

CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost) is the average cost of acquiring one paying customer.

Formula: CAC = sales and marketing spend for a period / new customers in the same period.

Example: you spent $6,000 on ads and sales salaries in a month and gained 20 customers. CAC = $300.

A common mistake is counting only the ad budget. CAC includes sales salaries, tools, agencies and content.

How the metrics connect

IndicatorWhat is comparedWhat it shows
LTV / CACcustomer value vs. acquisition costwhether growth pays off
CAC paybackCAC / (ARPA × margin)how many months to recover the cost
Net MRR growthnew + expansion − churnedwhether revenue is really growing

In the example above LTV / CAC = 2,000 / 300 ≈ 6.7 and CAC payback = 300 / (50 × 0.8) = 7.5 months. An LTV / CAC ratio of about 3:1 is often quoted as a guideline, but the right level depends on your market, sales model and cash runway.

The logic is simple: if customers leave before they have paid back their acquisition cost, every new sale loses money and scaling only speeds up the problem.

Common mistakes

  • Mixing one-off and recurring revenue in MRR.
  • Calculating churn across the whole base without splitting by plan and cohort.
  • Using revenue instead of margin in LTV, which inflates the estimate.
  • Ignoring salaries in CAC.
  • Looking only at averages: channels and plans can behave very differently.

FAQ

MRR and customer churn: both are easy to track from the first month. LTV and CAC become reliable once you have several months of history and clear acquisition channels.

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